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Make Tournament

59.6%

Automatic Bid

7.7%

At Large Bid

51.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (6.4%)

Final Four

6.0%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.5%
18 98.1%
17 91.3%
16 68.2%
15 33.1%
14 9.7%
13 1.6%
12 0.3%
11 0.3%
OVERALL 59.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.8% 5.4%
2 6.3% 2.9%
3 6.4% 1.9%
4 6.2% 1.3%
5 5.8% 0.8%
6 5.5% 0.6%
7 5.1% 0.5%
8 4.7% 0.3%
9 4.3% 0.3%
10 3.7% 0.2%
11 3.2% 0.2%
12 2.6% 0.2%
13 0.8% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.