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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

59.2%

At Large Bid

40.4%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (28.7%)

Final Four

16.4%

NCAA Champs

3.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.2%
26 95.9%
25 75.7%
24 37.7%
23 4.5%
22 0.1%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.3% 7.1%
2 28.7% 4.4%
3 24.3% 2.9%
4 16.0% 1.9%
5 9.5% 1.4%
6 4.8% 1.1%
7 1.8% 0.7%
8 0.6% 0.6%
9 0.3% 0.5%
10 0.2% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.