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Make Tournament

98.3%

Automatic Bid

22.1%

At Large Bid

76.2%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (30.2%)

Final Four

20.4%

NCAA Champs

4.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.3%
22 90.8%
21 56.3%
20 15.5%
19 1.0%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 98.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 30.2% 8.4%
2 23.6% 4.7%
3 15.6% 3.3%
4 9.6% 2.6%
5 5.7% 1.9%
6 4.3% 1.7%
7 4.0% 1.3%
8 2.6% 1.1%
9 1.4% 0.8%
10 0.7% 0.6%
11 0.4% 0.6%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.