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Make Tournament

98.4%

Automatic Bid

26.7%

At Large Bid

71.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (21.8%)

Final Four

22.9%

NCAA Champs

6.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 98.0%
20 87.7%
19 49.2%
18 13.7%
17 1.3%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 98.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 20.9% 11.3%
2 21.8% 7.4%
3 17.4% 5.3%
4 13.4% 4.0%
5 9.6% 3.0%
6 5.8% 2.6%
7 3.2% 2.1%
8 2.2% 1.7%
9 1.6% 1.4%
10 1.1% 1.4%
11 0.8% 1.2%
12 0.5% 1.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.