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Make Tournament

27.6%

Automatic Bid

1.0%

At Large Bid

26.6%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (4.1%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.3%
20 91.6%
19 59.2%
18 15.8%
17 1.4%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 27.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 0.5%
3 0.7% 0.3%
4 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.1% 0.2%
6 1.8% 0.2%
7 3.3% 0.1%
8 4.1% 0.1%
9 4.0% 0.1%
10 3.7% 0.1%
11 3.3% 0.0%
12 2.8% 0.0%
13 1.0% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.