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Make Tournament

29.1%

Automatic Bid

1.0%

At Large Bid

28.0%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (4.5%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.3%
20 92.6%
19 59.6%
18 16.6%
17 1.5%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 29.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 0.7%
3 0.8% 0.4%
4 1.1% 0.2%
5 1.3% 0.2%
6 2.0% 0.2%
7 3.7% 0.1%
8 4.5% 0.1%
9 4.3% 0.1%
10 3.8% 0.1%
11 3.3% 0.1%
12 2.7% 0.0%
13 0.9% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.