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Make Tournament

59.5%

Automatic Bid

56.6%

At Large Bid

3.0%

Most Likely Seed

#13 (10.8%)

Final Four

0.5%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 98.3%
22 92.0%
21 77.3%
20 67.5%
19 51.0%
18 41.4%
17 28.2%
16 16.5%
15 9.2%
14 5.2%
13 1.5%
12 3.8%
11 1.1%
OVERALL 59.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 1.3%
3 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.0% 0.2%
5 2.4% 0.1%
6 2.8% 0.1%
7 3.1% 0.0%
8 3.4% 0.0%
9 3.7% 0.0%
10 4.1% 0.0%
11 5.1% 0.0%
12 9.2% 0.0%
13 10.8% 0.0%
14 7.6% 0.0%
15 2.9% 0.0%
16 0.6% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.