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Make Tournament

53.3%

Automatic Bid

36.5%

At Large Bid

16.8%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (8.1%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
22 100.0%
21 99.6%
20 98.1%
19 92.3%
18 78.6%
17 56.8%
16 31.9%
15 16.0%
14 10.2%
13 6.8%
12 2.7%
11 0.8%
10 0.4%
OVERALL 53.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.3% 1.6%
3 0.9% 1.1%
4 1.7% 0.7%
5 2.7% 0.6%
6 3.7% 0.4%
7 4.5% 0.3%
8 5.2% 0.2%
9 5.9% 0.1%
10 6.4% 0.1%
11 6.9% 0.1%
12 8.1% 0.0%
13 4.8% 0.0%
14 1.7% 0.0%
15 0.5% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.