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Make Tournament

55.6%

Automatic Bid

34.9%

At Large Bid

20.6%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (5.8%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 98.9%
19 95.3%
18 83.4%
17 62.1%
16 33.1%
15 16.5%
14 10.6%
13 6.4%
12 2.3%
OVERALL 55.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 2.3%
2 3.2% 1.0%
3 5.1% 0.5%
4 5.8% 0.3%
5 5.3% 0.2%
6 5.0% 0.2%
7 5.5% 0.1%
8 5.5% 0.1%
9 4.8% 0.1%
10 3.8% 0.1%
11 3.1% 0.1%
12 2.9% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 1.4% 0.0%
15 0.8% 0.0%
16 0.2% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.