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Make Tournament

66.4%

Automatic Bid

1.4%

At Large Bid

65.0%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.4%)

Final Four

2.5%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 98.9%
20 92.8%
19 66.3%
18 24.2%
17 3.8%
16 0.2%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 66.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 2.1%
2 1.1% 1.3%
3 2.3% 0.9%
4 4.0% 0.6%
5 6.2% 0.4%
6 8.4% 0.3%
7 7.5% 0.2%
8 5.7% 0.2%
9 5.5% 0.1%
10 6.0% 0.1%
11 6.8% 0.1%
12 7.9% 0.1%
13 3.8% 0.1%
14 0.8% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.