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Make Tournament

99.5%

Automatic Bid

33.7%

At Large Bid

65.8%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (44.8%)

Final Four

21.4%

NCAA Champs

5.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 98.7%
19 87.0%
18 54.4%
17 16.1%
16 2.3%
15 0.1%
OVERALL 99.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 44.8% 7.8%
2 21.4% 3.8%
3 12.6% 2.6%
4 8.2% 1.8%
5 5.6% 1.2%
6 3.7% 1.0%
7 1.7% 0.7%
8 0.6% 0.3%
9 0.3% 0.5%
10 0.3% 0.4%
11 0.2% -
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.