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Make Tournament

88.6%

Automatic Bid

13.1%

At Large Bid

75.5%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (15.2%)

Final Four

11.7%

NCAA Champs

2.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 96.2%
14 81.8%
13 44.8%
12 12.4%
11 1.3%
OVERALL 88.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 15.2% 8.5%
2 13.7% 4.0%
3 11.3% 2.5%
4 9.6% 1.7%
5 8.0% 1.1%
6 6.8% 0.9%
7 5.9% 0.7%
8 5.1% 0.4%
9 4.4% 0.3%
10 3.7% 0.3%
11 2.9% 0.2%
12 1.7% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.