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Make Tournament

87.7%

Automatic Bid

24.8%

At Large Bid

62.9%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (13.1%)

Final Four

3.6%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 98.7%
25 91.9%
24 65.8%
23 24.1%
22 3.9%
21 0.9%
20 0.0%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 87.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 7.7% 1.3%
2 12.9% 0.6%
3 13.1% 0.4%
4 10.6% 0.2%
5 7.7% 0.2%
6 6.9% 0.1%
7 8.6% 0.1%
8 7.5% 0.1%
9 5.2% 0.0%
10 3.4% 0.0%
11 2.2% 0.0%
12 1.4% 0.0%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.