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Make Tournament

15.5%

Automatic Bid

1.7%

At Large Bid

13.8%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (2.0%)

Final Four

0.4%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 97.3%
19 89.7%
18 68.4%
17 36.3%
16 13.9%
15 3.0%
14 0.5%
13 0.1%
12 0.0%
OVERALL 15.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 0.3%
2 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.7% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.0%
6 0.8% 0.1%
7 1.1% 0.0%
8 1.4% 0.0%
9 1.5% 0.0%
10 1.6% 0.0%
11 1.7% 0.0%
12 2.0% 0.0%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.6% 0.0%
15 0.2% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.