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Make Tournament

94.3%

Automatic Bid

3.7%

At Large Bid

90.6%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (19.7%)

Final Four

2.2%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.2%
21 93.9%
20 69.6%
19 24.2%
18 1.5%
OVERALL 94.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.5% 0.6%
4 1.5% 0.7%
5 3.5% 0.5%
6 7.0% 0.4%
7 12.4% 0.3%
8 17.9% 0.2%
9 19.7% 0.2%
10 16.6% 0.1%
11 11.2% 0.1%
12 3.9% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.