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Make Tournament

28.0%

Automatic Bid

3.6%

At Large Bid

24.4%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (3.2%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 98.2%
19 92.3%
18 70.3%
17 43.7%
16 18.0%
15 5.0%
14 0.7%
13 0.1%
OVERALL 28.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 1.9%
2 1.4% 0.8%
3 1.4% 0.6%
4 1.7% 0.4%
5 2.2% 0.3%
6 2.5% 0.2%
7 2.7% 0.1%
8 2.9% 0.1%
9 3.2% 0.0%
10 3.2% 0.0%
11 3.0% 0.0%
12 2.3% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.