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Make Tournament

50.6%

Automatic Bid

37.2%

At Large Bid

13.4%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (8.7%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 98.5%
27 96.4%
26 90.1%
25 79.9%
24 63.5%
23 45.4%
22 29.5%
21 20.2%
20 12.8%
19 9.4%
18 6.9%
17 2.9%
16 1.0%
15 0.8%
OVERALL 50.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 1.2%
3 0.8% 0.7%
4 1.4% 0.3%
5 2.1% 0.3%
6 2.7% 0.2%
7 3.4% 0.1%
8 4.1% 0.1%
9 4.7% 0.1%
10 5.4% 0.0%
11 6.3% 0.0%
12 8.7% 0.0%
13 6.7% 0.0%
14 3.0% 0.0%
15 0.9% 0.0%
16 0.2% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.