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Make Tournament

84.1%

Automatic Bid

3.7%

At Large Bid

80.4%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (11.5%)

Final Four

6.6%

NCAA Champs

1.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.3%
22 88.6%
21 54.5%
20 12.6%
19 1.1%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 84.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.2% 3.4%
2 9.6% 2.0%
3 11.5% 1.4%
4 11.4% 0.9%
5 9.6% 0.7%
6 7.7% 0.6%
7 8.1% 0.4%
8 7.4% 0.3%
9 5.5% 0.2%
10 3.8% 0.2%
11 2.6% 0.2%
12 1.5% 0.1%
13 0.4% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.