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Make Tournament

60.7%

Automatic Bid

10.1%

At Large Bid

50.7%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.2%)

Final Four

3.4%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 98.8%
21 92.0%
20 64.1%
19 25.8%
18 4.2%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 60.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 2.2%
2 2.4% 1.6%
3 3.8% 1.2%
4 4.7% 0.7%
5 4.8% 0.6%
6 5.3% 0.4%
7 7.6% 0.4%
8 8.2% 0.3%
9 7.3% 0.2%
10 6.1% 0.2%
11 4.9% 0.2%
12 3.7% 0.1%
13 1.1% 0.1%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.