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Make Tournament

43.2%

Automatic Bid

15.5%

At Large Bid

27.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (4.4%)

Final Four

1.7%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 98.3%
19 95.5%
18 82.1%
17 62.1%
16 32.8%
15 13.5%
14 4.3%
13 0.9%
12 0.5%
11 0.2%
10 0.3%
OVERALL 43.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 2.5%
2 1.7% 1.2%
3 2.7% 0.6%
4 3.1% 0.4%
5 3.0% 0.3%
6 3.0% 0.2%
7 3.6% 0.2%
8 4.1% 0.1%
9 4.4% 0.1%
10 4.3% 0.1%
11 4.1% 0.1%
12 4.2% 0.1%
13 2.5% 0.0%
14 1.3% 0.0%
15 0.5% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.