View Duke bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

68.3%

At Large Bid

31.7%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (38.6%)

Final Four

16.9%

NCAA Champs

3.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.9% 4.7%
2 9.3% 4.5%
3 27.2% 4.3%
4 38.6% 3.8%
5 17.3% 3.0%
6 3.8% 3.2%
7 1.2% 3.1%
8 0.5% 2.4%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.