This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2021-22 NCAA Basketball season.
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Duke Blue Devils NCAA Tournament Bracketology Projection
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Last Week
Make Tournament
100.0%
Automatic Bid
68.3%
At Large Bid
31.7%
Most Likely Seed
#4 (38.6%)
Final Four
16.9%
NCAA Champs
3.8%
Projected NCAA Tournament Seed
NCAA Tournament Chances
Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total
Total Wins
NCAA Bid%
29
100.0%
28
100.0%
OVERALL
100.0%
NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.
NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed
Seed
Probability
Win Odds
1
1.9%
4.7%
2
9.3%
4.5%
3
27.2%
4.3%
4
38.6%
3.8%
5
17.3%
3.0%
6
3.8%
3.2%
7
1.2%
3.1%
8
0.5%
2.4%
9
0.2%
-
10
0.1%
-
11
0.0%
-
12
0.0%
-
13
0.0%
-
14
0.0%
-
15
0.0%
-
16
0.0%
-
OVERALL
3.8%
*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.