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Make Tournament

98.5%

Automatic Bid

44.8%

At Large Bid

53.7%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (23.6%)

Final Four

13.8%

NCAA Champs

2.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.1%
24 95.0%
23 82.6%
22 47.4%
21 13.7%
20 0.6%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 98.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.7% 6.5%
2 14.1% 4.9%
3 23.6% 3.7%
4 21.5% 2.7%
5 15.2% 2.0%
6 9.6% 1.5%
7 5.7% 1.2%
8 3.2% 1.0%
9 1.7% 0.9%
10 0.8% 0.8%
11 0.3% 0.8%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.