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Make Tournament

97.1%

Automatic Bid

38.0%

At Large Bid

59.1%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (19.5%)

Final Four

12.1%

NCAA Champs

2.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.5%
24 97.4%
23 88.3%
22 62.8%
21 28.5%
20 6.6%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 97.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.2% 6.4%
2 14.2% 4.4%
3 19.5% 3.2%
4 19.0% 2.3%
5 15.0% 1.5%
6 10.4% 1.3%
7 6.5% 0.9%
8 3.7% 0.7%
9 2.0% 0.6%
10 1.0% 0.5%
11 0.4% 0.3%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.