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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

37.4%

At Large Bid

62.5%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (26.8%)

Final Four

13.2%

NCAA Champs

2.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.8%
24 99.6%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 5.8%
2 4.8% 3.8%
3 15.7% 3.5%
4 26.8% 3.0%
5 25.6% 2.5%
6 15.2% 2.4%
7 6.7% 2.2%
8 2.8% 2.0%
9 1.2% 1.7%
10 0.5% 2.4%
11 0.2% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.