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Make Tournament

67.1%

Automatic Bid

13.8%

At Large Bid

53.3%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.4%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.7%
21 97.0%
20 83.6%
19 46.1%
18 10.0%
17 1.1%
16 0.2%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 67.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 1.2%
2 2.4% 0.7%
3 4.5% 0.4%
4 6.6% 0.3%
5 8.2% 0.2%
6 8.4% 0.1%
7 6.2% 0.1%
8 5.1% 0.1%
9 5.3% 0.1%
10 5.5% 0.1%
11 5.7% 0.0%
12 5.7% 0.0%
13 2.3% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.