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Make Tournament

65.1%

Automatic Bid

3.4%

At Large Bid

61.6%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (10.2%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.0%
23 95.3%
22 82.6%
21 53.8%
20 24.4%
19 5.9%
18 0.5%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 65.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.4% 0.7%
3 1.8% 0.4%
4 4.4% 0.3%
5 7.2% 0.2%
6 9.2% 0.1%
7 10.2% 0.1%
8 9.9% 0.1%
9 8.7% 0.0%
10 6.8% 0.0%
11 4.5% 0.0%
12 1.7% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.