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Make Tournament

95.5%

Automatic Bid

35.5%

At Large Bid

60.1%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (15.6%)

Final Four

5.6%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 97.7%
23 87.8%
22 58.6%
21 14.8%
20 2.0%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 95.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.3% 2.6%
2 12.8% 1.4%
3 15.6% 0.9%
4 15.4% 0.6%
5 14.2% 0.3%
6 11.3% 0.3%
7 6.4% 0.2%
8 4.0% 0.1%
9 3.2% 0.1%
10 2.8% 0.1%
11 2.3% 0.1%
12 1.7% 0.1%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.