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Make Tournament

72.3%

Automatic Bid

18.5%

At Large Bid

53.9%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (8.9%)

Final Four

2.9%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 98.0%
21 85.8%
20 54.3%
19 16.9%
18 2.1%
17 0.3%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 72.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 1.5%
2 4.6% 1.0%
3 6.6% 0.6%
4 8.3% 0.4%
5 8.9% 0.3%
6 7.9% 0.2%
7 6.5% 0.2%
8 6.2% 0.1%
9 5.9% 0.1%
10 5.3% 0.1%
11 4.7% 0.1%
12 4.0% 0.1%
13 1.4% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.