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Make Tournament

98.7%

Automatic Bid

36.6%

At Large Bid

62.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (25.3%)

Final Four

21.2%

NCAA Champs

5.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.3%
22 88.1%
21 60.7%
20 14.2%
19 3.1%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 98.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 24.0% 10.0%
2 25.3% 5.9%
3 17.2% 4.1%
4 11.9% 2.7%
5 8.0% 2.0%
6 4.8% 1.5%
7 2.6% 1.3%
8 1.7% 1.1%
9 1.2% 0.8%
10 0.8% 0.8%
11 0.5% 0.7%
12 0.3% 0.7%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.