More Teams...
View Arizona bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

19.3%

At Large Bid

80.6%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (35.2%)

Final Four

19.5%

NCAA Champs

4.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.9%
19 96.7%
18 86.5%
17 16.4%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 35.2% 7.1%
2 26.6% 3.6%
3 16.7% 2.2%
4 9.8% 1.4%
5 5.4% 0.8%
6 3.0% 0.6%
7 1.5% 0.4%
8 0.8% 0.3%
9 0.4% 0.3%
10 0.2% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.