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Make Tournament

71.4%

Automatic Bid

16.2%

At Large Bid

55.1%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.2%)

Final Four

2.0%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 97.7%
22 85.9%
21 54.6%
20 16.1%
19 2.0%
18 0.1%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 71.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 1.1%
2 3.5% 0.7%
3 6.0% 0.4%
4 7.6% 0.2%
5 7.6% 0.2%
6 6.9% 0.1%
7 7.8% 0.1%
8 8.2% 0.1%
9 7.3% 0.1%
10 5.9% 0.1%
11 4.7% 0.0%
12 3.5% 0.0%
13 1.1% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.