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Make Tournament

80.5%

Automatic Bid

20.2%

At Large Bid

60.3%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (10.7%)

Final Four

3.0%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.7%
23 97.2%
22 88.1%
21 65.0%
20 28.5%
19 6.4%
18 0.6%
17 1.2%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 80.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 2.0%
2 4.7% 1.0%
3 7.3% 0.7%
4 9.4% 0.4%
5 10.7% 0.3%
6 9.9% 0.2%
7 7.2% 0.1%
8 6.1% 0.1%
9 5.9% 0.1%
10 5.6% 0.1%
11 5.2% 0.1%
12 4.6% 0.0%
13 1.7% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.