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Utah Val St at Arkansas

  Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 - 8:00 pm - Fayetteville, AR | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: UVST | ARK

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVST ARK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting UVST ARK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 55.6
Field Goal % 32.7% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 34.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 34.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 23.5
Free Throw % 70.2% 71.3%

Ball Control UVST ARK
Rebounds 30.6 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.8
Turnovers 14.1 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.2 6.5
Steals 3.3 7.9
Fouls 16.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVST ARK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with UVST ARK
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 20.5%
Player Fouled 21.5% 24.3%
Turnover 21.0% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 5.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken UVST ARK
Shot Blocked 11.8% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 36.8%