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Michigan at Iowa

  Saturday Jan 14, 2012 - 1:00 pm - Iowa City, IA | Odds: Michigan by 2.5, Total Points: 139.5 | Team Pages: MICH | IOWA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting MICH IOWA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 55.0
Field Goal % 39.8% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 16.3
Free Throw % 73.8% 73.8%

Ball Control MICH IOWA
Rebounds 28.0 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.9
Turnovers 8.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.3
Steals 4.8 4.3
Fouls 12.7 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH IOWA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with MICH IOWA
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 21.8%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.9%
Turnover 13.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken MICH IOWA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 37.2%