Michigan at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Nov 29, 2011 7:00 pm - Charlottesville, VA
Odds: Virginia by 4, Total Points: 115.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Virginia -3.5 Official TR Pick Virginia 54% odds to cover
Virginia -3.5 Decision Tree Virginia 54% odds to cover
Michigan +3.5 Similar Games Michigan 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MICH adv UVA
Season 8-24-0 17-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 4-17-0 11-10-1
Streak L4 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 2-8-0 4-6-0
Home 5-10-0 10-6-1
Away 3-14-0 7-9-0

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/07 Home NC-Asheville -10.5 W by 25 +14.5
11/10 Home Youngs St -16.5 W by 30 +13.5
11/13 Away St Johns +3.0 W by 16 +19.0
11/17 Home Lg Beach St -15.0 L by 8 -23.0
11/22 Neutral Memphis -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
11/23 Neutral Stanford -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/24 Neutral Texas Tech -2.5 L by 16 -18.5
12/02 Away Oregon +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
12/05 Home Indiana -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
12/10 Away Iowa +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
12/16 Home E Michigan -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
12/19 Neutral Florida +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/29 Home McNeese St -10.5 L by 11 -21.5
01/04 Home Minnesota -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
01/07 Neutral Penn St -3.0 L by 6 -9.0
01/11 Away Maryland +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
01/15 Home Ohio St -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
01/18 Home Illinois +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
01/23 Away Purdue +18.0 L by 32 -14.0
01/27 Home Iowa -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
01/30 Away Michigan St +12.0 L by 19 -7.0
02/03 Home Rutgers -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
02/07 Home Wisconsin +8.0 W by 4 +12.0
02/10 Away Nebraska +10.0 L by 20 -10.0
02/13 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 29 -13.5
02/17 Home Michigan St +6.0 L by 10 -4.0
02/22 Away Northwestern +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
02/25 Home Purdue +13.5 L by 8 +5.5
02/29 Away Rutgers +8.0 L by 30 -22.0
03/03 Away Ohio St +12.0 L by 23 -11.0
03/10 Home Nebraska +6.5 L by 15 -8.5
03/13 Neutral Penn St +7.0 L by 9 -2.0

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Tarleton St -17.0 W by 30 +13.0
11/10 Neutral Florida +1.0 W by 3 +4.0
11/14 Home NC A&T -30.5 W by 29 -1.5
11/16 Home TX Southern -22.5 W by 29 +6.5
11/20 Neutral Wisconsin -3.5 L by 24 -27.5
11/22 Neutral W Virginia -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
11/29 Home Texas A&M -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
12/02 Home Syracuse -10.5 W by 22 +11.5
12/05 Home NC Central -24.5 W by 30 +5.5
12/16 Home Northeastrn -16.0 W by 2 -14.0
12/19 Away Memphis +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
12/27 Home Morgan St -26.5 W by 35 +8.5
12/30 Away Notre Dame -9.5 L by 22 -31.5
01/03 Home Louisville -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
01/06 Away NC State +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
01/13 Away Wake Forest +6.0 L by 19 -13.0
01/17 Home VA Tech -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
01/20 Away GA Tech -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/24 Home NC State -6.0 W by 6 0.0
01/27 Away Louisville -9.0 W by 17 +8.0
01/31 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
02/03 Away Clemson +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/05 Home Miami -5.5 W by 22 +16.5
02/10 Away Florida St -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
02/13 Home Pittsburgh -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/17 Home Wake Forest -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
02/19 Away VA Tech +3.5 L by 34 -30.5
02/24 Home N Carolina +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/28 Away Boston Col -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
03/02 Away Duke +10.0 L by 25 -15.0
03/09 Home GA Tech -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
03/14 Neutral Boston Col -5.5 W by 6 +0.5
03/15 Neutral NC State -2.5 L by 8 -10.5