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Michigan vs. Duke: Point Spread Line Movement

Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Lahaina, HI (Neutral Site)
Odds: Duke by 6.5, Total Points: 133.5

More Games From Nov 22, 2011
DUKE -6.5 Open -7.0 High -7.5
Last -7.0 Low -6.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1996 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Duke won the game 1474 times (73.8%)
  • The team like Michigan won the game 522 times (26.2%)
  • The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 995-971-30 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2113 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 1039-1028-46 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -6.5 -6.5 --
Open -7.5 -7.0 --
History
11/22 07:16 PM -6.5 -- --
11/22 07:04 PM -- -6.5 --
11/22 02:16 PM -6.5 -- --
11/22 01:44 PM -- -6.5 --
11/22 12:24 PM -- -7.0 --
11/22 10:46 AM -7.5 -- --