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NC State at Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Feb 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 7.5, Total Points: 161.5

Matchup Menu: NCST @ LOU

More Games From Feb 9, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 161.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 161.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 161.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	NCST	LOU
Season	21-13-0	15-20-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	14-6-0	8-12-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	4-6-0
Home	8-8-0	6-11-0
Away	13-5-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

NC State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	NC Central	145.0	114-66	Over	+35.0
11/07	Home	UAB	162.5	94-70	Over	+1.5
11/12	Home	NC Greensboro	153.5	110-64	Over	+20.5
11/17	Home	VCU	164.5	85-79	Under	-0.5
11/24	Neutral	Seton Hall	143.5	74-85	Over	+15.5
11/25	Neutral	Boise St	154.0	81-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Texas	161.5	97-102	Over	+37.5
12/03	Away	Auburn	162.5	73-83	Under	-6.5
12/06	Home	NC Asheville	155.5	75-63	Under	-17.5
12/10	Home	Liberty	149.5	85-45	Under	-19.5
12/13	Home	Kansas	148.5	76-77	Over	+4.5
12/17	Neutral	Texas So	152.5	108-72	Over	+27.5
12/21	Neutral	Mississippi	148.5	76-62	Under	-10.5
12/31	Home	Wake Forest	159.5	70-57	Under	-32.5
01/03	Home	Virginia	151.5	61-76	Under	-14.5
01/06	Away	Boston College	142.0	79-71	Over	+8.0
01/10	Away	Florida St	160.0	113-69	Over	+22.0
01/17	Home	Georgia Tech	154.5	74-78	Under	-2.5
01/20	Away	Clemson	142.0	80-76	Over	+14.0
01/24	Away	Pittsburgh	146.0	81-72	Over	+7.0
01/27	Home	Syracuse	151.5	88-68	Over	+4.5
01/31	Away	Wake Forest	154.5	96-78	Over	+19.5
02/03	Away	SMU	159.5	84-83	Over	+7.5
02/07	Home	Virginia Tech	152.0	82-73	Over	+3.0
02/09	Away	Louisville	161.5	77-118	Over	+33.5
02/14	Home	Miami	158.0	76-77	Under	-5.0
02/17	Home	North Carolina	155.5	82-58	Under	-15.5
02/24	Away	Virginia	152.5	61-90	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Notre Dame	154.5	90-96	Over	+31.5
03/02	Home	Duke	150.5	64-93	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Stanford	152.5	84-85	Over	+16.5
03/11	Neutral	Pittsburgh	144.5	98-88	Over	+41.5
03/12	Neutral	Virginia	153.5	74-81	Over	+1.5
03/17	Neutral	Texas	158.5	66-68	Under	-24.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5