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NC State at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Feb 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 7.5, Total Points: 161.5

Matchup Menu: NCST @ LOU

More Games From Feb 9, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Louisville -7.5 Official TR Pick Louisville 55% odds to cover
Louisville -7.5 Similar Games Louisville 59% odds to cover
Louisville -7.5 Decision Tree Louisville 56% odds to cover
NC State +7.5 Power Rating Model NC State 72% odds to cover
NC State +7.5 Predictive Ratings NC State 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NCST adv LOU
Season 16-17-1 17-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-1 7-13-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 2-8-0 3-7-0
Home 7-8-1 10-7-0
Away 9-9-0 7-11-0

NC State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home NC Central -31.0 W by 48 +17.0
11/07 Home UAB -20.0 W by 24 +4.0
11/12 Home NC Greensboro -30.5 W by 46 +15.5
11/17 Home VCU -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/24 Neutral Seton Hall -7.5 L by 11 -18.5
11/25 Neutral Boise St -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
11/26 Neutral Texas -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
12/03 Away Auburn +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
12/06 Home NC Asheville -28.0 W by 12 -16.0
12/10 Home Liberty -12.5 W by 40 +27.5
12/13 Home Kansas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Neutral Texas So -34.0 W by 36 +2.0
12/21 Neutral Mississippi -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
12/31 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
01/03 Home Virginia -4.0 L by 15 -19.0
01/06 Away Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
01/10 Away Florida St -4.5 W by 44 +39.5
01/17 Home Georgia Tech -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
01/20 Away Clemson +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
01/24 Away Pittsburgh -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
01/27 Home Syracuse -11.0 W by 20 +9.0
01/31 Away Wake Forest -6.0 W by 18 +12.0
02/03 Away SMU (Pick) W by 1 +1.0
02/07 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 9 0.0
02/09 Away Louisville +7.5 L by 41 -33.5
02/14 Home Miami -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/17 Home North Carolina -8.0 W by 24 +16.0
02/24 Away Virginia +6.5 L by 29 -22.5
02/28 Away Notre Dame -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
03/02 Home Duke +9.5 L by 29 -19.5
03/07 Home Stanford -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
03/11 Neutral Pittsburgh -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
03/12 Neutral Virginia +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
03/17 Neutral Texas -1.5 L by 2 -3.5

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Carolina St -36.5 W by 59 +22.5
11/06 Home Jackson St -38.5 W by 36 -2.5
11/11 Home Kentucky -6.0 W by 8 +2.0
11/15 Home Ohio -31.0 W by 25 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
11/24 Home E Michigan -33.5 W by 41 +7.5
11/26 Home NJIT -43.5 W by 57 +13.5
12/03 Away Arkansas -2.0 L by 9 -11.0
12/06 Neutral Indiana -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
12/13 Home Memphis -16.5 W by 26 +9.5
12/16 Away Tennessee +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
12/20 Home Montana -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/30 Away California -7.5 W by 20 +12.5
01/02 Away Stanford -7.0 L by 4 -11.0
01/06 Home Duke (Pick) L by 11 -11.0
01/10 Home Boston College -21.0 W by 13 -8.0
01/13 Home Virginia -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
01/17 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 W by 41 +34.0
01/24 Home Virginia Tech -13.5 W by 14 +0.5
01/26 Away Duke +8.5 L by 31 -22.5
01/31 Home SMU -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
02/04 Home Notre Dame -18.0 W by 11 -7.0
02/07 Away Wake Forest -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
02/09 Home NC State -7.5 W by 41 +33.5
02/14 Neutral Baylor -7.0 W by 11 +4.0
02/17 Away SMU -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech -23.0 W by 17 -6.0
02/23 Away North Carolina -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
02/28 Away Clemson -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
03/03 Home Syracuse -14.5 W by 15 +0.5
03/07 Away Miami +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/11 Neutral SMU -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/12 Neutral Miami -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/19 Neutral S Florida -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/21 Neutral Michigan St +5.5 L by 8 -2.5