This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

NC State at Louisville: Recap

Monday Feb 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 7.5, Total Points: 161.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville NCST 21.3%
LOU 78.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -7.5 NCST 45.0%
LOU 55.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 161.5 Over 49.6%
Under 50.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -330 NCST -5.9%
LOU +1.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NCST 76.2 77.0 77
LOU 85.1 84.5 118

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST LOU
Points/Game 83.2 84.3
Avg Score Margin +6.9 +11.7
Assists/Game 15.4 17.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 34.5 38.3
Effective FG % 55.0% 56.5%
Off Rebound % 26.4% 31.6%
FTA/FGA 0.351 0.331
Turnover % 11.5% 14.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST LOU
Opp Points/Game 76.3 72.5
Opp Effective FG % 52.7% 48.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.5 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.8 25.9
Blocks/Game 3.4 3.3
Steals/Game 8.1 6.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.2 18.5