NC State at Louisville: Recap

Monday Feb 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 7.5, Total Points: 161.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville NCST 21.3%
LOU 78.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -7.5 NCST 45.0%
LOU 55.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 161.5 Over 49.6%
Under 50.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -330 NCST -5.9%
LOU +1.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NCST 76.2 77.0 77
LOU 85.1 84.5 118

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST LOU
Points/Game 83.5 85.9
Avg Score Margin +7.5 +13.4
Assists/Game 15.7 17.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 35.0 38.7
Effective FG % 55.1% 56.8%
Off Rebound % 27.2% 31.9%
FTA/FGA 0.345 0.335
Turnover % 11.6% 14.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NCST LOU
Opp Points/Game 76.0 72.5
Opp Effective FG % 52.5% 48.6%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.9 10.2
Def Rebounds/Gm 23.2 26.3
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.3
Steals/Game 8.2 7.0
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.2 18.6