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Nevada at Montana : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 10, 2011 9:00 pm - Missoula, MT
Odds: Montana by 3, Total Points: 128.5

More Games From Dec 10, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV MONT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NEV MONT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 58.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 42.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 33.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 29.5 20.8
Free Throw % 73.1% 68.8%
Ball Control NEV MONT
Rebounds 38.3 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.9
Turnovers 11.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.3
Steals 5.8 4.4
Fouls 17.4 20.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV MONT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NEV MONT
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 24.8%
Player Fouled 28.5% 24.1%
Turnover 15.5% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV MONT
Shot Blocked 4.0% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 25.4%