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Nevada at Oral Roberts: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Mar 14, 2012 9:15 pm - Tulsa, OK
Odds: Oral Roberts by 6.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: NEV @ ORU

More Games From Mar 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV ORU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NEV ORU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 55.4
Field Goal % 48.2% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 41.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 32.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 16.3
Free Throw % 71.2% 77.1%
Ball Control NEV ORU
Rebounds 39.1 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 6.8
Turnovers 7.9 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.0
Steals 5.4 3.7
Fouls 13.4 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV ORU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NEV ORU
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 32.5%
Player Fouled 29.7% 19.6%
Turnover 11.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV ORU
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 18.8%