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Villanova at W Virginia : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 28, 2011 7:00 pm - Morgantown, WV
Odds: West Virginia by 7, Total Points: 137

More Games From Dec 28, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VILA WVIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 45.8 56.4
Field Goal % 49.6% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 25.8 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 60.2% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 21.6
Free Throw % 79.4% 67.9%
Ball Control VILA WVIR
Rebounds 30.2 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 20.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 13.6
Turnovers 13.8 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.8
Steals 6.5 8.0
Fouls 17.1 22.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILA WVIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VILA WVIR
2 Point Attempt 33.4% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 21.1%
Player Fouled 31.4% 24.4%
Turnover 19.8% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILA WVIR
Shot Blocked 3.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 36.4%