Abl Christian at Ste F Austin: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 29, 2020 8:30 pm - Nacogdoches, TX
Odds: Stephen F. Austin by 8.5, Total Points: 138.5

More Games From Jan 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU SFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ACU SFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.6 44.8
Field Goal % 44.2% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 11.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 32.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 69.0%
Ball Control ACU SFA
Rebounds 25.1 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 17.5 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.2
Turnovers 19.3 20.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.3
Steals 8.7 9.5
Fouls 22.9 20.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU SFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ACU SFA
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 13.0%
Player Fouled 27.0% 30.1%
Turnover 25.3% 26.6%
Opponent Steal 12.5% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU SFA
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 36.9%