Abl Christian at SE Louisiana: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 22, 2020 5:00 pm - Hammond, LA
Odds: Abilene Christian by 7.5, Total Points: 138

More Games From Feb 22, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU SELA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ACU SELA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 40.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 34.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 24.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 21.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 32.7
Free Throw % 64.8% 64.1%
Ball Control ACU SELA
Rebounds 34.4 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 21.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.7
Steals 8.3 5.3
Fouls 22.3 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU SELA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ACU SELA
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 28.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 19.4%
Player Fouled 27.7% 30.5%
Turnover 17.8% 28.9%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU SELA
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 29.9%