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Northwestern at Iowa: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 10, 2019 6:30 pm - Iowa City, IA
Odds: Iowa by 10.5, Total Points: 144.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NWST IOWA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 53.7
Field Goal % 40.8% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 31.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 24.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.4%
Ball Control NWST IOWA
Rebounds 34.8 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.6
Turnovers 10.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.6
Steals 5.3 5.0
Fouls 18.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NWST IOWA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NWST IOWA
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 22.7%
Player Fouled 19.4% 26.6%
Turnover 14.5% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NWST IOWA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 24.8%