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Arizona at California: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 17, 2018 9:00 pm - Berkeley, CA
Odds: Arizona by 12.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: ARIZ @ CAL

More Games From Jan 17, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ CAL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARIZ CAL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 65.0
Field Goal % 48.8% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 31.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 15.8
Free Throw % 71.0% 73.2%
Ball Control ARIZ CAL
Rebounds 44.2 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 32.6 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 8.8
Turnovers 9.4 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.9
Steals 6.6 5.7
Fouls 13.9 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ CAL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARIZ CAL
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 31.3%
Player Fouled 21.7% 18.2%
Turnover 12.3% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ CAL
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 21.3%