Northwestern at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 9:00 pm - Champaign, IL
Odds: Illinois by 15.5, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: NW @ ILL

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Northwestern +15.5 Official TR Pick Northwestern 51% odds to cover
Northwestern +15.5 Power Rating Model Northwestern 56% odds to cover
Northwestern +15.5 Similar Games Northwestern 59% odds to cover
Northwestern +15.5 Decision Tree Northwestern 51% odds to cover
Illinois -15.5 Predictive Ratings Illinois 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NW adv ILL
Season 16-16-2 17-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-11-1 11-10-0
Streak W5 L2
Last 5 5-0-0 1-4-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-0 9-7-0
Away 9-7-2 8-7-0

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercyhurst -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
11/07 Home Boston U -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/10 Home Cleveland St -23.0 W by 47 +24.0
11/14 Away DePaul -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral South Carolina -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/27 Neutral Oklahoma St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/03 Away Wisconsin +11.0 L by 12 -1.0
12/06 Home Ohio St (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
12/13 Home Jackson St -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/16 Home Valparaiso -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Butler +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/30 Home Howard -20.5 W by 20 -0.5
01/03 Home Minnesota -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/08 Away Michigan St +13.0 L by 10 +3.0
01/11 Away Rutgers -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/14 Home Illinois +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
01/17 Home Nebraska +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
01/21 Away USC +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/24 Away UCLA +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/29 Home Penn St -7.0 W by 21 +14.0
01/31 Home Washington -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
02/04 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 40 -24.5
02/08 Away Iowa +11.0 L by 6 +5.0
02/11 Home Michigan +15.0 L by 12 +3.0
02/14 Away Nebraska +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/18 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/24 Away Indiana +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
02/28 Home Oregon -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
03/04 Home Purdue +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/07 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/10 Neutral Penn St -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/11 Neutral Indiana +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
03/12 Neutral Purdue +13.5 L by 13 +0.5

Illinois Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Jackson St -29.0 W by 58 +29.0
11/07 Home FGCU -28.5 W by 43 +14.5
11/11 Home Texas Tech -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
11/14 Home Colgate -30.5 W by 19 -11.5
11/19 Neutral Alabama -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
11/22 Home LIU -33.0 W by 40 +7.0
11/24 Home UT Rio Grande -33.0 W by 14 -19.0
11/28 Neutral UConn +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/06 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/09 Away Ohio St -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
12/13 Home Nebraska -9.0 L by 3 -12.0
12/22 Neutral Missouri -8.5 W by 43 +34.5
12/29 Home Southern -33.5 W by 35 +1.5
01/03 Away Penn St -14.5 W by 8 -6.5
01/08 Home Rutgers -23.0 W by 26 +3.0
01/11 Away Iowa -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/14 Away Northwestern -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
01/17 Home Minnesota -15.0 W by 10 -5.0
01/21 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 19 +0.5
01/24 Away Purdue +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
01/29 Home Washington -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
02/01 Away Nebraska +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
02/04 Home Northwestern -15.5 W by 40 +24.5
02/07 Away Michigan St +1.0 L by 3 -2.0
02/10 Home Wisconsin -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
02/15 Home Indiana -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
02/18 Away USC -10.0 W by 36 +26.0
02/21 Away UCLA -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/27 Home Michigan +1.5 L by 14 -12.5
03/03 Home Oregon -17.5 W by 26 +8.5
03/08 Away Maryland -14.5 W by 6 -8.5
03/13 Neutral Wisconsin -8.5 L by 3 -11.5