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Kentucky at Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 12:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 5.5, Total Points: 174

Matchup Menu: UK @ ALA

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 174.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 174.0	Similar Games	52% odds to go over
Over 174.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UK	ALA
Season	18-18-0	17-16-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	10-8-1
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	10-9-0	7-8-0
Away	8-9-0	10-8-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Nicholls	157.0	77-51	Under	-29.0
11/07	Home	Valparaiso	157.0	107-59	Over	+9.0
11/11	Away	Louisville	173.0	88-96	Over	+11.0
11/14	Home	E Illinois	148.5	99-53	Over	+3.5
11/18	Neutral	Michigan St	153.0	66-83	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Loyola MD	160.0	88-46	Under	-26.0
11/26	Home	Tenn Tech	157.5	104-54	Over	+0.5
12/02	Home	North Carolina	163.5	64-67	Under	-32.5
12/05	Home	Gonzaga	159.5	59-94	Under	-6.5
12/09	Home	NC Central	148.5	103-67	Over	+21.5
12/13	Home	Indiana	156.0	72-60	Under	-24.0
12/20	Neutral	St John's	154.0	78-66	Under	-10.0
12/23	Home	Bellarmine	152.5	99-85	Over	+31.5
01/03	Away	Alabama	174.0	74-89	Under	-11.0
01/07	Home	Missouri	151.0	68-73	Under	-10.0
01/10	Home	Mississippi St	152.5	92-68	Over	+7.5
01/14	Away	LSU	151.5	75-74	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Tennessee	145.0	80-78	Over	+13.0
01/21	Home	Texas	151.5	85-80	Over	+13.5
01/24	Home	Mississippi	145.5	72-63	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	Vanderbilt	154.0	55-80	Under	-19.0
01/31	Away	Arkansas	161.5	85-77	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Oklahoma	152.5	94-78	Over	+19.5
02/07	Home	Tennessee	146.0	74-71	Under	-1.0
02/14	Away	Florida	155.0	83-92	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	Georgia	161.5	78-86	Over	+2.5
02/21	Away	Auburn	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
02/24	Away	South Carolina	151.5	72-63	Under	-16.5
02/28	Home	Vanderbilt	157.5	91-77	Over	+10.5
03/03	Away	Texas A&M	162.5	85-96	Over	+18.5
03/07	Home	Florida	162.5	77-84	Under	-1.5
03/11	Neutral	LSU	151.5	87-82	Over	+17.5
03/12	Neutral	Missouri	148.5	78-72	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida	160.5	63-71	Under	-26.5
03/20	Neutral	Santa Clara	157.5	89-84	Over	+15.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa St	146.5	63-82	Under	-1.5

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Dakota	170.5	91-62	Under	-17.5
11/08	Away	St John's	--	103-96	Under	--
11/13	Home	Purdue	172.5	80-87	Under	-5.5
11/19	Neutral	Illinois	181.5	90-86	Under	-5.5
11/24	Neutral	Gonzaga	178.5	85-95	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	UNLV	181.0	115-76	Over	+10.0
11/26	Neutral	Maryland	166.5	105-72	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	Clemson	166.0	90-84	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	UTSA	171.0	97-55	Under	-19.0
12/13	Neutral	Arizona	178.5	75-96	Under	-7.5
12/17	Home	S Florida	178.5	104-93	Over	+18.5
12/21	Neutral	Kennesaw St	182.5	92-81	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Yale	171.0	102-78	Over	+9.0
01/03	Home	Kentucky	174.0	89-74	Under	-11.0
01/07	Away	Vanderbilt	176.0	90-96	Over	+10.0
01/10	Home	Texas	177.5	88-92	Over	+2.5
01/13	Away	Mississippi St	171.5	97-82	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma	176.0	83-81	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Tennessee	167.5	73-79	Under	-15.5
01/27	Home	Missouri	166.5	90-64	Under	-12.5
02/01	Away	Florida	177.0	77-100	Push	0.0
02/04	Home	Texas A&M	179.5	100-97	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Auburn	175.5	96-92	Over	+12.5
02/11	Away	Mississippi	163.0	93-74	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	South Carolina	168.0	89-75	Under	-4.0
02/18	Home	Arkansas	184.0	117-115	Over	+48.0
02/21	Away	LSU	171.5	90-83	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Mississippi St	176.5	100-75	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Tennessee	162.5	71-69	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	Georgia	179.5	88-98	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Auburn	175.5	96-84	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Mississippi	166.5	79-80	Under	-7.5
03/20	Neutral	Hofstra	158.5	90-70	Over	+1.5
03/22	Neutral	Texas Tech	164.5	90-65	Under	-9.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan	172.5	77-90	Under	-5.5