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Kentucky at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 12:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 5.5, Total Points: 174

Matchup Menu: UK @ ALA

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Alabama -4.5 Official TR Pick Alabama 51% odds to cover
Alabama -4.5 Power Rating Model Alabama 56% odds to cover
Alabama -4.5 Similar Games Alabama 58% odds to cover
Alabama -4.5 Decision Tree Alabama 51% odds to cover
Alabama -4.5 Predictive Ratings Alabama 50% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UK adv ALA
Season 18-18-0 15-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 8-11-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 9-10-0 6-9-0
Away 9-8-0 9-10-0

Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Nicholls -31.5 W by 26 -5.5
11/07 Home Valparaiso -32.0 W by 48 +16.0
11/11 Away Louisville +6.0 L by 8 -2.0
11/14 Home E Illinois -35.5 W by 46 +10.5
11/18 Neutral Michigan St -3.5 L by 17 -20.5
11/21 Home Loyola MD -35.5 W by 42 +6.5
11/26 Home Tenn Tech -37.0 W by 50 +13.0
12/02 Home North Carolina -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
12/05 Home Gonzaga +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
12/09 Home NC Central -42.5 W by 36 -6.5
12/13 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
12/20 Neutral St John's (Pick) W by 12 +12.0
12/23 Home Bellarmine -34.5 W by 14 -20.5
01/03 Away Alabama +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
01/07 Home Missouri -12.5 L by 5 -17.5
01/10 Home Mississippi St -10.5 W by 24 +13.5
01/14 Away LSU -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
01/17 Away Tennessee +6.0 W by 2 +8.0
01/21 Home Texas -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
01/24 Home Mississippi -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
01/27 Away Vanderbilt +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/31 Away Arkansas +7.0 W by 8 +15.0
02/04 Home Oklahoma -9.0 W by 16 +7.0
02/07 Home Tennessee (Pick) W by 3 +3.0
02/14 Away Florida +13.0 L by 9 +4.0
02/17 Home Georgia -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/21 Away Auburn +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
02/24 Away South Carolina -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
02/28 Home Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/03 Away Texas A&M +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
03/07 Home Florida +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
03/11 Neutral LSU -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Missouri -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/13 Neutral Florida +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Santa Clara -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/22 Neutral Iowa St +5.5 L by 19 -13.5

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home North Dakota -35.5 W by 29 -6.5
11/08 Away St John's -- W by 7 --
11/13 Home Purdue -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
11/19 Neutral Illinois +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
11/24 Neutral Gonzaga +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
11/25 Neutral UNLV -14.5 W by 39 +24.5
11/26 Neutral Maryland -14.5 W by 33 +18.5
12/03 Home Clemson -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
12/07 Home UTSA -33.5 W by 42 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Arizona +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
12/17 Home S Florida -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/21 Neutral Kennesaw St -20.0 W by 11 -9.0
12/29 Home Yale -15.0 W by 24 +9.0
01/03 Home Kentucky -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
01/07 Away Vanderbilt +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
01/10 Home Texas -11.5 L by 4 -15.5
01/13 Away Mississippi St -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
01/17 Away Oklahoma -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
01/24 Home Tennessee -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/27 Home Missouri -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
02/01 Away Florida +9.0 L by 23 -14.0
02/04 Home Texas A&M -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/07 Away Auburn +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/11 Away Mississippi -6.5 W by 19 +12.5
02/14 Home South Carolina -17.5 W by 14 -3.5
02/18 Home Arkansas -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
02/21 Away LSU -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/25 Home Mississippi St -12.5 W by 25 +12.5
02/28 Away Tennessee +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/03 Away Georgia -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
03/07 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Mississippi -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
03/20 Neutral Hofstra -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Texas Tech -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan +9.5 L by 13 -3.5