Pepperdine at Abl Christian: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 16, 2019 8:30 pm - Abilene, TX
Odds: Pepperdine by 5.5, Total Points: 148

More Games From Nov 16, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP ACU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PEPP ACU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 56.1
Field Goal % 48.6% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 22.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 74.9%
Ball Control PEPP ACU
Rebounds 36.0 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.9
Turnovers 15.3 14.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.0
Steals 6.6 7.8
Fouls 16.8 22.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP ACU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PEPP ACU
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 23.9%
Player Fouled 30.0% 22.4%
Turnover 20.4% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP ACU
Shot Blocked 3.7% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 24.4%