Pepperdine at San Diego: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 26, 2012 10:00 pm - San Diego, CA
Odds: San Diego by 3.5, Total Points: 123

More Games From Jan 26, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEPP USD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PEPP USD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 55.6
Field Goal % 45.8% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 38.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 20.5
Free Throw % 69.8% 72.0%
Ball Control PEPP USD
Rebounds 35.4 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.3
Turnovers 11.6 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.9
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 14.8 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEPP USD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PEPP USD
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 20.3%
Player Fouled 25.6% 20.5%
Turnover 16.0% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEPP USD
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 24.7%