Hawaii at Nevada: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 14, 2012 10:00 pm - Reno, NV
Odds: Nevada by 12.5, Total Points: 140

More Games From Jan 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW NEV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HAW NEV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 57.8
Field Goal % 37.6% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 40.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 18.1
Free Throw % 69.8% 76.3%
Ball Control HAW NEV
Rebounds 33.8 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.0
Turnovers 10.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.4
Steals 4.0 4.4
Fouls 15.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW NEV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HAW NEV
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 22.4%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.6%
Turnover 14.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW NEV
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 24.6%